12 April 2007

Sucession vs Transition

The Cuban Succession.

Like everything else the bogus Cuban revolution has attempted in its 48 year reign of terror , the succession of power laid out by the ex-dictator and current op ed. writer for Granma flies in the face of logic. Believing that any government lead by the new collegiate leadership in Havana has any legitimacy or staying power takes as much blind faith as believing all the lies and propaganda that the regime has been fabricating since it usurped power. That’s why we get almost daily stories from the true believers in the MSM touting Raul’s smooth “transition” and Fidel’s final victory.

Aside from reality, truth and history, the regime has many obstacles to overcome in order for it to assure its survival.

At the 'Cuba after Castro' at the World Affairs Forum hels at the University of Connecticut, these challenges were analyzed and discussed by Cuban expert Susan Purcell.

The generation that brought in the revolution and set out to systematically destroy Cuban society is now pushing 80. Even if Raul were to successfully take the reigns of power, “Raul could die before Fidel," said Susan Purcell, who is director for the Center for Hemispheric Policy at the University of Miami.

Then here’s the “wildcards”:

The Cuban military may not remain loyal to the Castros' regime;

The youth of the country, aware of the consumerism in the United States, may want to open the country to Adidas and iPods and other popular brand names not sold in Cuba because of the trade embargo imposed by the U.S. in 1962. That desire to buy, which dovetails with the American companies' desire to sell to whomever they can, might spell trouble for any successor to the Castro brother.

"The youth is clearly the problem that the next leader is going to have to face," she said.

Those are very real challenges but there’s also less tangible but equally frustrating factors for the Cuban Youth:

How about freedom? The youth in Cuba wants to be free to do whatever the youth of other countries do.

There’s also the apartheid system that makes Cubans second or third class citizens in their own country.

According to Purcell, the real transition in Cuba will begin when the Castros are both gone.
What we have now is an illegitimate dictatorship trying to hold on to power through lies and oppression.

2 comments:

Tomás Estrada-Palma said...

And let's not forget the toxic dump created by the Castro that today poisons both native Cuban and tourist alike.

El Gusano said...

But Tomas, haven't you heard? Castro is now an environmental expert!